Sean Green hosts the Sports Gambling Podcast and is our expert on losing money.
With a lot of playoff spots locked up, some football talking heads will try and convince you that the majority of these games are meaningless. When a point spread is involved nothing is meaningless!
Washington Redskins -3 vs Dallas Cowboys
The Redskins are on fire winning their last six in a row. RGIII‘s battle with his wounded knee is the only potential road block for the Skins, but he looked sharp last week and will be healthier come Sunday night. If you combine week 17 and the post-season Tony Romo is 1-5 in win or go home games, and with beauty queen Candice Crawford waiting back at his pad it’s tough to blame him.
Pittsburgh Steelers +7 vs Cleveland Browns
Fractured and dislocated describes the Steelers’ season and the injuries which plagued Big Ben this season. “I will be living out a childhood dream” is what Thad Lewis said when asked about starting in replacement of injured Browns QBs Brandon Weeden and Colt McCoy. “I will be living out a childhood dream” is what I said when I realized I could take the Steelers laying seven points against a third-string Browns QB named Thad who is making his first NFL start.
Indianapolis Colts +7 vs Houston Texans
The Colts are locked into a five seed and Houston needs this game to secure a first round bye so the obvious play would be Houston. However, the Colts are 6-1 ATS at home, they will be playing all their starters and most importantly this is the first game back for head coach Chuck Pagano who is returning after his season long battle with cancer. Will the Colts dump Gatorade on Coach Pagano if they lose but still get the emotional cover against the spread? Unlikely, but I guarantee they show up and play hard.
Prosperous Prop Bets
Total Field Goals Made Green Bay at Minnesota: Over 3.5 (+115)
50+ yard field goals are good 71% of the time in a dome in December, compared to only 49% outdoors. This back and forth affair will have these two teams trading field goals as if they were POGS in the late ’90s.
Defensive or Special Teams TD in San Fran vs Arizona: Yes +160
Brian Hoyer is the fourth QB to start for the Cardinals and if he’s anything like the previous three he’s good for a pick six. Throw in a possible Ted Ginn Jr. return and this one is easy money.