Will Obama Prove “Redskins Rule” Wrong Tonight?


Photo: Getty Images

The odds are in President Obama’s favor for reelection. That is, if you go by voter polls — if you’re more into superstitions than statisticians, then you might want to put your money on Mitt Romney. (Not literally on him — he has enough already.) It’s called the Redskins Rule, and it has aligned with every presidential election since 1940.*

Steve Hirdt, the Einstein to this theory of relativity, explains:

“I was shocked to see it lined up exactly right, that whenever the Redskins won their last home game prior to the presidential election, the incumbent party retained the White House, and whenever the Redskins lost their last home game prior to the election, the out-of-power party won the White House.”

Since the Redskins lost to the Carolina Panthers a couple days ago, Romney has the advantage. But Obama has a knack for breaking historical precedent, so it’s anyone’s game.

* Actually, George W. Bush proved the rule wrong by winning in 2004. Hirdt then modified it to refer to the popular vote instead of the electoral vote. Superstitions aren’t always super.

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Marty Beckerman (@martybeckerman) is the Associate Editor of Guy Code Blog